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People Can Overestimate Their Abilities, Something Known as the Dunning-Kruger Effect

According to researchers, we all experience the Dunning-Kruger Effect.

By Emilie Le Beau Lucchesi
Mar 20, 2024 3:00 PM
queen chess piece with pawn shadow
(Credit:Igor Nikushin/Shutterstock)

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Author Tom Vanderbilt politely congratulated his opponent after losing to him during a chess tournament. The victor was an eight-year-old boy who sipped chocolate milk from a little box with a straw during the round. Vanderbilt, then approaching age 50, humbly updated the tournament director with the results.

Learning chess was one of the experiences Vanderbilt chronicled in his book Beginners: The Joy and Transformative Power of Lifelong Learning (he also learned juggling, singing, and surfing). Chess was also the only one of his target skills that provided a sense of how he compared to others. Tournament stats and ratings meant Vanderbilt knew his general skill level.

However, most life experiences don’t provide chess-tournament-type feedback. Psychologists have found that when people evaluate themselves, those who perform the worst are often the most overconfident in their abilities.

What is the Dunning-Kruger Effect?

In the late 1990s, psychologist David Dunning was a professor at Cornell University when he noticed that students who wanted to discuss a poor test grade seemed surprised by their performance. Often students felt confident going into the exam. Other times, they missed questions they thought they answered correctly.

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